Will I die in a plane crash?
Simulate the real-world risk of dying on a U.S. airline flight. Based on NTSB safety statistics and passenger data.
6 round trips a year
Hold FLY to go faster.
Release to pause.
90 years old
Let's change it up. Every click is now one lifetime: 90 years.
still here
Every click is now 1,000 years.
Still here.
Unlocked: 100,000 years a click.
Keep flying. The pace will gradually pick up.
new high score
we've got a ways to go
Same pace. No holding.
| Flights | 0 |
| Time in the air | 0 |
| Calendar year | 2026 |
| Incidents survivedabout 1 in 360K | 0 |
| Accidents survivedabout 1 in 830K | 0 |
| Car crashesif driving instead | 0 |
| Car injuriesif driving instead | 0 |
| Car deathsif driving instead | 0 |
| Flights, all lives | 0 |
| Deathsabout 1 in 130M | 0 |
| Longest life | 0 |
Most flights before dying.
Every press is one independent flight at today's real U.S. rates. Nothing you did before changes the next press.
About 63 passenger deaths across about 8.29 billion U.S. scheduled airline boardings, 2016-2025. That is 1 in 132 million per boarding.
Sixty of those 63 were one crash (PSA 5342 at Washington National, January 2025). One event dominates the number, so treat it as "about 1 in 100 to 200 million." Widen the window to 2010-2025 and it is about 1 in 200 million; 2001-2025 (which includes 9/11 and AA587) about 1 in 30 million. We use the most recent ten years.
Incident, about 1 in 360,000: any NTSB-reportable accident on a scheduled airline flight. 110 accidents across 39.4 million departures, 2020-2024. Most are turbulence injuries; the plane lands normally.
Major accident, about 1 in 830,000: hull loss or major damage on a North American jet flight, IATA 2021-2025. Almost everyone walks away.
Same span of time as an average U.S. driver, 13,476 miles a year, counting only people inside a car (no pedestrians or motorcyclists):
Per mile, the last decade of U.S. airline flying has been roughly 1,000 times safer than driving. The average-driver figure includes late-night and impaired miles; a sober daytime driver does better than average.
"Would have died by now" on the death screen is 1 - (1 - 1/132,000,000)flights: the share of people who would have died somewhere in that many flights. "Average" means the mean wait, 132 million flights.
Rates are held constant over the whole simulated span. Millions of years of flying is a thought experiment, not a forecast.